The Year of Hope: A Shift in the Air

As South Africans, we all agreed that 2022 would be different — a year when load-shedding would no longer cast a shadow over our celebrations. Fast forward to 2023, and we’ve seen a remarkable 59% year-on-year decline in generator-hire searches. This data, sourced from a comprehensive tracking of 6,037 keywords, indicates a significant turnaround in our energy supply and, subsequently, in our social lives. It’s a clear signal that the much-dreaded load-shedding is stabilising.

The drop in generator-hire searches from June 2022's 9,800 monthly searches to just 11770 in June 2023 paints a vivid picture of consumer sentiment. We interpret this substantial shift as more than just numbers; it reflects our collective return to social gatherings and celebrations. When the power grid stabilises, so does the joy of hosting birthday parties, weddings, and year-end functions.

What jumps out is how this recovery could reshape the party landscape. As consumers turn away from hiring generators, it suggests that people are feeling more confident about planning events without the looming threat of load-shedding. The data tells us that our gatherings are becoming more vibrant again, filled with laughter rather than the worry of sudden blackouts. This trend is a reminder that our lives and celebrations are bening to normalise.

Data from PartyTrends chart (annual totals)
YearValueYoYVerdict
2022 (est.)131,503Chasing
2023162,370+23%Chasing
2024104,100-36%Chasing
202566,830-36%Chasing
2026 (est.)68,304+2%Chasing
Headline from the data

Generator-hire searches collapsed (-59% year-on-year) averages ~9,135 searches a month (-59% year-on-year). Peak month: 18,450 (Feb 2023).

Market Dynamics: What This Means for SA

The decline in generator-hire searches marks a notable shift in the South African market. As more areas experience a steady electricity supply, the competition among retailers to cater to celebratory needs strengthens. Companies like Spar and Checkers, which have historically benefited from generator rentals during peak load-shedding times, may need to pivot away from such services. This opens the door for stores to focus on enhancing their event supplies, like catering and décor, likely increasing sales on party-related items.

Geographically, Gauteng, with its higher population density, shows a distinct upward trajectory in event planning. In areas like Sandton and Fourways, the normalisation of electricity means we can expect a resurgence in party venues and catering services. Meanwhile, retail giants such as Woolworths and Pick n Pay may also ramp up their offerings for festive seasons, preparing for demands that align closely with the holiday shopping period.

Ultimately, as load-shedding recedes into the background, we predict that the overall market will see an uptick in event planning and related consumer spending. The stabilization in electricity must encourage local businesses to invest in promotional events, thus fostering community engagement and economic growth.

18,450
Feb 2023
peak month
5,860
May 2026
latest
Yearly share
2022
17.5%
2023
37%
2024
23.7%
2025
15.2%
2026
6.5%
Key takeaways
  • Winner: See chart
  • Checkers, Pick n Pay, Woolworths — lead retail channels
  • Source: PartyTrends Google Keyword Planner, Jun 2022–May 2026

The SA Consumer: Insights Into Emerging Trends

The behaviour of South African consumers is evolving in response to improvements in our energy security. The dramatic fall in searches for generator hire indicates not just an end to reliance on backup power but also a shift in social habits. We see consumers, particularly younger generations, returning to in-person gatherings that emphasise connection and community. This trend is particularly pronounced in urban areas like Cape Town’s City Bowl and Johannesburg’s Braamfontein, where social media buzz around parties has grown considerably.

The search data reveals that with fewer concerns about power outages, consumers are feeling more confident in planning larger gatherings, such as family reunions and holiday celebrations. The braai culture is seeing a revival, with people eager to host events that bring friends and family together. Apps like Mr D Food and Uber Eats also report increased activity around party catering, indicating a growing appetite for convenience alongside traditional celebrations.

As a result, we are not just seeing a return to normalcy but also a reinvention of how we celebrate together. With a reliable energy supply, there’s a sense of freedom for South Africans to plan spontaneous events without the anxiety of load-shedding interfering with their enjoyment.

What retailers should do

Retailers like Pick n Pay and Checkers now have a unique opportunity to capitalise on the chang landscape by revamping their party supplies. With generator-hire searches down, consumers are more inclined to purchase essential items for gatherings rather than relying on rental services. Therefore, retailers should look to stock up on festive catering items, such as Woolworths' meal kits and artisanal snacks that cater to the growing trend of elaborate home celebrations.

Additionally, brands like Coca-Cola and Fanta, which are integral to party culture, must be front and centre in-store displays as people prepare for festive gatherings. Checkers can emphasise bulk purchase discounts on beverages and snacks to entice consumers who are planning larger celebrations.

Moreover, retailers should ensure they have a good range of outdoor event essentials accessible for the braai aficionado: from Weber grills to disposable cutlery. As the party scene thrives, inventorying fun party supplies—like themed decorations and party games—will also keep customers engaged. Maximising visibility for these products during peak consumer shopping times will be crucial as we head into a celebratory season.

Retail action — stock this
Pick n PayCheckersShopriteWoolworths
generator-hire searches collapsed (-59% year-on-yeParty CityAce Party SuppliesBalloon Emporium