The Dance is Over: South Africa's Declining TikTok Fever

As we dive deep into the world of TikTok dances, the trend forecast isn’t looking too hot. According to our latest analysis, searches for ‘TikTok dances’ have plummeted by an alarming 38% year-on-year. In 2022, we saw a robust 182,769 searches, but as of 2026, it’s projected to fall to a mere 90,691. If the current trend holds, we’re looking at an even cooler reception by 2028, with a projected search volume of about 55,610.

This data tells us that the initial hype has faded, and although TikTok remains a social media powerhouse, its dance trends are cooling off significantly. The Western Cape, a bastion of TikTok creativity, isn’t immune either; the chart shows that even the vibrant Cape Town scene isn't as lively with dance searches as it used to be. It’s like the dance floor cleared out after the DJ dropped the last track!

What’s particularly interesting is how the trends reflect a shift in consumer behavior. While TikTok might still reign supreme as a platform for short videos, the specific niche of dance trends appears to have hit a plateau. Even noted TikTok influencers from Johannesburg and Durban aren’t pulling the same interest they once did. We see a line that suggests a slow, but steady decline, leaving us to ponder—the party might be over.

Data from PartyTrends chart
RegionValueYoYVerdict
2022182,769Chasing
2023174,500Chasing
2024151,580Chasing
2025131,940Chasing
202690,691Chasing
Headline from the data

TikTok Dances peaked at ~182,769 annual searches in 2022. 2028 is tracking ~55,610 (projected full year).

The Market Meltdown: Implications for TikTok Trends in South Africa

The implications of this decline in TikTok dance searches for the South African market are significant. Firstly, brands like Fanta and Red Bull that often capitalized on dance trends for marketing campaigns might need to rethink their strategies. With less interest in TikTok dances, companies may find it challeng to engage younger audiences effectively. The drop in dance challenges means lower sales of related merchandise, such as dance gear or branded apparel that featured popular dance moves.

Moreover, regional discrepancies highlight that while Gauteng boasts the highest population, it's the Western Cape that has kept TikTok dance culture vibrant longer than the others. However, as the search volume decreases across the board, businesses need to reconsider capitalizing on these trends. Companies in Cape Town and Durban that once thrived on TikTok collaborations may now need to pivot towards alternative forms of digital engagement.

182769
2022
leader
174500
2023
challenger
Yearly share
2022
25%
2023
23.9%
2024
20.7%
2025
18%
2026
12.4%
Key takeaways
  • Winner: See chart
  • Checkers, Pick n Pay, Woolworths — lead retail channels
  • Source: PartyTrends Google Keyword Planner, Jun 2022–May 2026

The Consumer Shift: What South Africans Are Really After

What do these declining statistics reveal about the South African consumer? Well, the data suggests a generational shift. Gen Z, who once led the charge in dance challenges, might be pivoting towards more diverse content on TikTok, like DIY projects, cooking hacks, or lifestyle vlogs. The search behavior indicates that while TikTok remains a daily visit for millions in suburbs like Sandton and Claremont, interest in dance is waning. Niche communities are emerg that thrive on other content forms.

The township versus suburb dynamic is another facet to consider. In areas like Soweto, where community-led dance circles used to thrive, there appears to be a resurgence of local culture that’s more focused on music and tradition rather than trending TikTok dances. Services like Mr D and Uber Eats are still in demand, but consumers are looking for content that resonates more organically and culturally than just rote choreography.

2028 projection
~55,610
South Africa is cooling on TikTok Dances
PartyTrends linear fit on seasonally adjusted annual totals

What retailers should do

For retailers like Pick n Pay and Woolworths, this cooling trend on TikTok dances presents a unique challenge and opportunity. Rather than investing in TikTok dance merchandise like apparel or dance classes, retailers should pivot toward products that align with emerg consumer interests. For instance, brands like Knorr and Ina Paarman can lead the charge in promoting easy meal kits and cooking classes that have captured the attention of consumers looking to create content around food rather than dance.

Moreover, Checkers can also tap into the lifestyle trend by offering curated bundles that feature home entertainment essentials—think games and DIY kits. This could satisfy the growing appetite for more engag, multifaceted content. Spar and Tops at Spar should consider stocking not just food but also accessories for home gatherings, trending board games, and unique beverages that cater to a more holistic social experience rather than just a dance-off.

Retail action — stock this
Pick n PayCheckersShopriteWoolworths
tiktok dancesParty CityAce Party SuppliesBalloon Emporium